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Don’t head out to that sports bar or neighborhood man-cave to meet up with your fantasy crew unarmed. Make Fanosis your 1-stop place to cop or drop and get locked and loaded for that well-deserved winning weekend. Combined and condensed below are the consensus latest lines from Las Vegas, my selections and why, along with final score predictions to give you a better read on how strongly I feel for or against the spread in quick access format because your time is precious and let’s face it, who has just one fantasy team anymore?

Five teams remain undefeated (Patriots, Broncos, Packers, Bengals, and Panthers) after that amazing late-game performance by Cam Newton to keep them from falling to the Seahawks, and after the Falcons laid an egg. Three of the five have their bye. Week 6 was yet another tough week as favorites bowed to the underdogs 8-5-1 against the spread, despite hanging tough to some experts I respect in my “rookie” season at Fanosis, my record versus the spread falls considerably short of my fantasy teams. Time to burn the midnight oil. Don’t forget to use discretion, and as always, monitoring the up-to-the-minute changes and injury info is crucial. 

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

The Line: Seahawks -6.5

The Game: Thursday, 5:30PM PT, NFL Network

The Skinny: I’m more of a cause-and-effect-meets-eyeball test kinda guy than a numbers cruncher, so it’s no surprise that I’m going against what the numbers (and enough experts) may say here. San Francisco plays considerably better at home, and while Seattle has every right to improve off last week’s loss to a better-than-‘frisco Carolina team, I don’t believe they will play good enough for four quarters (probably because, including OT, they’ve been outscored 61-27 in the fourth quarter). My week 1 scenario is in effect here (last 3 years, Seahawks lose to the spread after facing the above-average physical Rams—Panthers were as if not more physical with Seattle). I can’t confidently pick the 49ers to win, but having watched that exhaustive game against Cam and the Panthers, and now playing on the road 4 days later, I think that 8-and-0 run of beating the spread against San Francisco comes to an end—sure would feel better if I had that other half point to work with though. Seahawks Win, 27-21 

BUFFALO BILLS @ JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (via London)

The Line: Bills -6

The Game: SPECIAL ANNOUNCEMENT: The NFL and Yahoo are teaming up to bring you the first NFL football game streamed live globally. This historic event is free to watch and will NOT be simulcast.  Sunday, 6:30AM PT, Yahoo (Internet access needed)

The Skinny: Rex Ryan didn’t have the greatest past week—with the loss to the, then the high-priced football players-turned-divas publicly demanding cheese with their whine—Note to players: I’ll say it because Coach Ryan is too nice to, “Shut up’n play!” Luckily, winning solves drama, and the Bills face a team that they should beat with a second-string quarterback (Tyrod’s ruled out). Percy Harvin is out with hip issues and an assortment of lingering ailments (despite some reports that say “non-injury related”) and is contemplating retirement, and Karlos Williams is day-to-day from a concussion. Still, it is extremely difficult to back a team coming off losses to Tampa Bay and Houston while failing to cover a spread in 17 of its last 25 games. The London games are usually not close (7 of last 10 decided by two TDs), but injuries considered, this game has the potential to end up 7-0. I’ll say… Bills Win, 16-9

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS @ WASHINGTON REDSKINS

The Line: Redskins -3.5

The Game: Sunday, 10AM PT, FOX

The Skinny: At first glance, it looks like a trap game spreadwise. The ‘Skins at home, with a better defense (Tampa Bay’s D allows the most points in the league), and the Bucs QB will be forced to throw the ball, making him susceptible to a critical turnover (only 3.5?). However, Washington may be without both their tight ends, while DeSean Jackson and running back Matt Jones are questionable. QB Cousins is confused, but this is still a game to bounce back on after the latest reemerging RGIII questions and rumors. Redskins Win, 24-17

ATLANTA FALCONS @ TENNESSEE TITANS

The Line: Falcons -4.5

The Game: Sunday, 10AM PT, FOX

The Skinny: This is likely my I-don’t-get-it game of the week and I’m calling it a definite trap. The Titans, who have covered the spread a very sad twice of their last 17 games at home, are either playing with Mariota at considerably less than 100% or not at all (nothing announced as yet). The spread is influenced by the fact that the Falcons’ receivers are banged up, but so is the Tennessee secondary…and then there’s Devonta Freeman running the ball. The Falcons should only need Julio and decoys stepping on the field to win by at least six points. I’m picking them with confidence. Falcons Win, 23-12

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

The Line: Colts -4.5

The Game: Sunday, 10AM PT, FOX

The Skinny: Must-see TV here as both teams land in the bottom four on defense so there’s bound to be plenty of action in the air. Brees vs. Luck should top Luck vs. Brady last week as Brady is an extension of Coach Belichick, and Drew Brees more often throws caution to the wind. Luck, who didn’t look bad last week, is a week healthier and both teams have banged up secondaries. The Saints played fairly well defensively considering they gave up 150 yards on the ground and allow 138 per game. However, you can’t rely on them to win such a lop-sided turnover war as they did last week. New Orleans may once again start a third-stringer at left tackle,but the Colts are tied with the second-worst sack total (8). Offensively, if the Colts play like they did the first half against New England, covering should be more of a breeze than up to Brees, but the Saints have the edge at coaching. Coach Pagano changed the meaning of “Chuck Strong” after what is being called “the worst call in NFL history” took place last week. In a contract year and with Luck getting embarrassed and banged up like he has, the phrase might soon refer to coach’s post-season NFL recovery process… Giving/taking points here adds exciting for sure, but I recommend that you just watch and enjoy. Colts Win, 34-31 

MINNESOTA VIKINGS @ DETROIT LIONS

The Line: Vikings -2.5

The Game: Sunday, 10AM PT, FOX

The Skinny: These two teams played week 2 and the Vikings won 26-10, the game in Minnesota. So now they meet in Detroit and both TEs for the lions and Theo Riddick (groin) are banged up. With Adrian Peterson stronger in the legs than in week 2, with the Vikings having the 2nd-ranked scoring defense in the league, with better coaching, and the emergence of rookie receiver Stefon Diggs, who is in the process of taking Charles Johnson’s place on the depth chart, why would I think the end result here would be much closer to the spread? Meanwhile, Detroit hasn’t really gotten any better though they do move the chains. Vikings Win, 20-13

PITTSBURGH STEELERS @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

The Line: “Off The Board” to Spreads from Steelers -2.5 to -3.5

The Game: Sunday, 10AM PT, CBS

The Skinny: The lack of information on Pittsburgh’s quarterback status has some Vegas oddsmakers too nervous (or as I’d prefer to say, “keeping the pair in their in their purse”), but I really don’t see the huge deal. If Roethlisberger doesn’t play, Landry Jones is, in my opinion, good enough to roughly match Big Ben at 80% healthy, judging by what we’ve seen so far and definitely more upside than Mike Vick in the passing department. Vick’s legs might be missed, but frankly, Vick has a “glass jaw” and taking a hit dead on will only make their situation worse. He should be a last resort at this point. That said, if Jones gets the start they are the clear favorite with the weapons they have. Martavis Bryant did not look rusty at all and further makes this team dangerous and poised to reclaim their early-season respect. Steelers Win, 34-27

CLEVELAND BROWNS @ ST. LOUIS RAMS

The Line: Rams -5.5

The Game: Sunday, 10AM PT, CBS

The Skinny: Off a bye week and at home, I’d normally lean heavily towards the Rams here, but the spread reflects the game’s unpredictability because of a few key injuries. The Rams defensive line is a bit battered (DEs Chris Long and Robert Quinn both with knee issues and “questionable”), and Tavon Austin, a key element in their last-ranked offense, is nursing a hamstring (questionable also). The Rams’ defensive front is stacked to the plug-and-play level — and might be ranked higher than 6th if the offensive had their back — so not much drop-off there. They are among the leaders in sacks while the Browns are third in sacks allowed. The Rams’ ground game is “moving up the charts,” and Cleveland ranks 31st against the run with a 5.0 yards per game allowed. If Tavon is good to go, or if any receiver steps up at all this may be a fantasy owner’s dream if Gurley is in the line-up. Rams Win, 30-20 

HOUSTON TEXANS @ MIAMI DOLPHINS  

The Line: Dolphins -4.5

The Game: Sunday, 10AM PT, CBS

The Skinny: Hard to believe a defensive line that includes Watt and Clowney could be inside the bottom 10 in sacks accumulated with only 9. Miami is tied for last, however, with 7. What’s even harder to believe is that, given their QB situation and their 2W-4L record, they are ranked 5th in total offense, just below Arizona and a few spots higher than Green Bay — imagine if they kept Fitz (now the Jets QB). Still, I picked against them last week wanting to see what the new coach can do first. Although I am still not sold on Tannehill, I’ve seen enough to respect them this week against this team…but not enough, I suppose. Dolphins Win, 24-21 

NEW YORK JETS @ NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

The Line: Patriots -9

The Game: Sunday, 10AM PT, CBS

The Skinny: 9 points? Wow, someone needs to tell the oddsmakers that these aren’t their daddy’s Jets. Offensively, the Jets are making things happen and the defense matches up better this year with the Patriots (Ex-Patriot Revis is now a Jet, remember? Can you say, “Intel”?) Meanwhile, Running back Chris Ivory is threatening to be the new Beastmode. and Brandon Marshall is, in my opinion, the receiver with thee most heart in the league. Good things are happening in New York and inconsistency is…so last year. New England threw a wrench in my analysis last week when I practically called them God’s team facing a lesser defense. That Kool-Aid left a bad taste in my mouth and at this risk of being embarrassed again, I’m breaking out the big brass ones for this must-see game, inspired also by the stat; New York Jets are 10 of last 11 games covering the spread in October versus New England…and that was your daddy’s Jets. Jets Win,  23-20 

OAKLAND RAIDERS @ SAN DIEGO CHARGERS

The Line: Chargers -4

The Game: Sunday, 1:05PM PT, CBS

The Skinny: It may be too early to call running back Melvin Gordon a bust but the off-season debut about who’s the better back, Gordon or Gurley, has been decided or Rivers would not be throwing 65 times. Considering the Raiders are rated 2nd below the Jets against the run (yeah, shocking, I know), Rivers figures to be throwing caution (and everything else) to the wind again this week. On the other side, the Chargers are dead last against the run giving up more than 5 yards per carry to opponents, If the Raiders can get and keep a lead, or keep the score somewhat close, Carr won’t have to rely on an air battle with one of the best QBs.  Chargers Win, 28-20 

DALLAS COWBOYS @ NEW YORK GIANTS

The Line: Giants -3.5

The Game: Sunday, 1:25PM PT, FOX

The Skinny: Matt Cassel may not be much of an upgrade at quarterback for the Cowboys the change at running back may not as well (ex-Beastmode back-up Christine Michael took first-team snaps and is expected to start). That being said, the Giants are a grease fire at times defensively. This game may be tough to watch, but as long as Eli pulls rabbits from his hat and Beckham Jr. makes those catches, the Giants always have a shot late in a game.  Giants Win, 23-16

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES @ CAROLINA PANTHERS

The Line: Panthers -3

The Game: Sunday, 5:30PM PT, NBC

The Skinny: Another defense-lovers’ game to watch. One can argue that the Eagles defensive is as good or better than the Panthers’, allowing only 20 or more points in 3 of 6 games, but Carolina’s defensive is among the league’s best in turnover ratio…and now they face Sam Bradford. If Cam can parlay his forth quarter form from last weekend into four quarters this game won’t be close. Tall order as of now though, and the winner of the turnover war here wins the game.  Panthers Win, 20-17

BALTIMORE RAVENS @ ARIZONA CARDINALS

The Line: Cardinals -8.5

The Game: Monday, 5:30PM PT, ESPN

The Skinny: This game opened at 6.5 and Wednesday it was at 7.5. The word is out the Baltimore is the only team that has yet to cover a spread this year. The Ravens are among the league’s worst in passing defense. Guess what Carson and Company do best? Arizona is 8 of 10 covering the spread in their last teams games, and this year they win big when they win. The two losses for them has them on edge and hungry, and if Tyrann Mathieu can’t keep his focus on his job and not what Twitter’s saying, they should hold Baltimore to 20 or less points. Cardinals Win 34-17 

BYE: Chicago Bears, Cincinnati Bengals, Denver Broncos, Green Bay Packers  

Last week’s record vs. the spread (Most Thursday game/disclaimer games excluded): W6 – L7 (Season total: W41 – L31)

MY FANTASY FOOTBALL STARTERS (STANDARD-LEAGUE POSITION):

QB – Andrew Luck, Indianapolis / Carson Palmer, Arizona

RB – Adrian Peterson, Minnesota Vikings / Todd Gurley, St. Louis Rams

WR – John Brown, Arizona / T.Y. Hilton, Indianapolis

TE – Greg Olsen, Carolina

K – Chandler Catanzaro, Arizona

Def – Buffalo Bills

That’s a wrap! Thanks, and good luck, Mr. Betting Mann! 

 

About Author

Tony Lopez

Tony Lopez is a die-hard Rams fan and Rams representing writer at Fanosis, as well as an avid fantasy football player that has won championships at Yahoo, ESPN, NFL(dot)com and FOX. An ex-employment specialist at Goodwill of Southern California's main headquarters, he has work with prison programs and has L.A. certified training to aid people with disabilities. He is also a poet and ghostwriter.