Subscribe
  • Facebook
  • Twitter

Don’t head out to that sports bar or neighborhood man-cave to meet up with your fantasy crew unarmed. Make Fanosis your 1-stop place to cop or drop and get locked and loaded for that well-deserved winning weekend. Combined and condensed below are the consensus latest lines from Las Vegas, my selections and why, along with final score predictions to give you a better read on how strongly I feel for or against the spread in quick access format because your time is precious and let’s face it, who has just one fantasy team anymore?

Take a note, Mr. Betting Mann; there are only 8 teams with winning records through the first four weeks of football, six are still undefeated (Patriots, Broncos, Packers, Falcons, Bengals, and Panthers). Week 4, the underdogs triumphed again, taking 8 of 15 games (2-team bye week), and 4 favorites lost outright. Well-respected experts were lucky to break just better than 500., and though I fit in that range, late quarterback news effected two of my selections (2 picks needed disclaimer, I had only 1). Use discretion this week and monitor the up-to-the-minute changes and injury info.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTSHOUSTON TEXANS

The Line: Colts -1 (GAME OVER) Colts win, 27-20

Post-game Summary: Age is just a number as the Indianapolis Colts emerge victorious in Thursday’s night game versus the Houston Texans. Led by 40-year old Matt Hasselbeck, 34-year old Andre Johnson, 32-year old Frank Gore, and 42-year old Adam Vinatieri, the Colts have now won three games straight and sit atop the AFC South after losing the first two games of the season. With a game plan that mostly kept play flowing away from J.J. Watt, Hasselbeck completed a respectable 18 of 29 for 213 yards and 2 TDs with a QB rating of 107.4. Receiver Andre Johnson caught 6 of 7 targets and 2 TDs, his first two of the season. RB Frank Gore finished just shy of 100 yards and a score, while kicker Vinatieri nailed 2 field goals and 3 PATs.

CHICAGO BEARS @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

The Line: Chiefs -9.5

The Game: Sunday, 10AM PT, FOX

The Skinny: The Bears are coming off their first victory (Cutler surprisingly started) against the Raiders. The Chiefs are trying to end a three-game skid but to better company (Broncos, Packers, Bengals, all 4-and-0). I don’t have a lot of faith in K.C.’s Alex Smith and the connection with his receivers, but the game on paper screams of RB Charles having a big day after averaging over 5 yards per carry against tougher opponents. The Bears play two levels better under the starting QB but they are extremely banged up; the two starting receivers didn’t see practice Thursday and probably won’t see the field Sunday, while Jay Cutler’s hamstring is not 100%, they’re missing a linebacker, and two O-line starters (the tackles) are out…Not good news when facing the league-leading team in sacks.  Chiefs Win, 30-13  

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS

The Line: Bengals -3

The Game: Sunday, 10AM PT, FOX

The Skinny: I’m not trying to get you too excited here, but this game appears to be a set-up odds-wise. The Bengals are now second in total offense and capable of scoring more on Seattle than the Lions did in Week 4. Meanwhile, their defense ranks sixth in sacks (above Detroit, and remember how often Russell Wilson scrambled?) while the Seahawks’ pass rush is six from the bottom. Without Jimmy Graham being used to the best of his ability, and with Dalton having his best season with better weapons, I would jump these odds. Home field, too? Take Cincinnati in this must-see game. Bengals Win, 24-17   

WASHINGTON REDSKINS @ ATLANTA FALCONS

The Line: Falcons -7.5

The Game: Sunday, 10AM PT, FOX

The Skinny: The Falcons are just clicking on all cylinders right now and with Washington’s secondary banged up, Julio Jones is a fantasy player’s wet dream against a defense that has yet to get its first INT, and because the Redskins are stout against the run, Matt Ryan should give receiver Leonard Hankerson a good number of looks as well, knowing the former-Redskin will be motivated. Kirk Cousins will find himself playing catch-up and this increases the chance for turnovers. Interesting, however, that the betting line originally opened at 9. Atlanta still lacks getting the respect, but they are more talented than the team Washington upset last week so go with them anyway. Falcons Win, 24-16   

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS @ TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 

The Line: Bucs -3

The Game: Sunday, 10AM PT, CBS

The Skinny: This game comes down to how well Jameis Winston plays. On paper, the teams are hard to separate but Jacksonville is without WRs Arrelious Benn and Marqise Lee, while Allen Hurns is probable but banged up enough to not practice Wednesday. I wouldn’t risk someone else’s money on Blake Bortles under those conditions. The Buccaneer defense needs to step it up a notch and facing a D that appears much better against the run than the pass, that number one pick needs only to play as good as a second-rounder consistently here instead of a late-rounder. If you must, give those points. Bucs Win, 17-13   

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS @ PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

The Line: Eagles -5

The Game: Sunday, 10AM PT, FOX

The Skinny: According to Las Vegas, this game has the second-highest over/under this week at 49. I feel it should be the highest, but that’s because it’s more even-sided than the one Tom Brady’s playing, Vegas’ most high. Both teams here face a porous defense with the Eagles being better against the run. Sam Bradford should do well but that hinges on if his receivers can catch this week. DeMarco Murray hasn’t emerged as the fantasy stud he once was so I expect Ryan Matthews to steal some carries, the better fit for Kelly’s system. Drew Brees appears back on his game but lacks the air threat he’s used to…for the life of me, I can’t figure out why 6’6″, 225 lb receiver Brandon Coleman has not posted even mediocre numbers, while Brandin Cooks is not the leading receiver he was expected to be. Drew will dump off to his backs, and the return of C.J. Spiller proved dangerous last week. Lots of action expected in this high-flying affair, but I must go with the wiser/cooler Brees. SaintWin, 34-33   

CLEVELAND BROWNS @ BALTIMORE RAVENS

The Line: Ravens -6.5

The Game: Sunday, 10AM PT, CBS

The Skinny: The loss of veteran receiver Steve Smith is huge here, and an already banged up receiving unit is sure to cause Flacco some confusion, especially if TE Crockett Gilmore sits out a second straight game. Justin Forsett is set to be the bell cow so with a decent secondary, Cleveland’s coaching staff don’t have to be rocket scientists. The spread appears inflated to me, knowing the Browns are 4-and-1 against it in their last 5 trips to Baltimore. Ya gotta love division rival games. Ravens Win, 20-17   

BUFFALO BILLS @ TENNESSEE TITANS

The Line: Bills -1.5

The Game: Sunday, 10AM PT, CBS

The Skinny: The Titans are top ten ranked in both offense and defense, so why are they 1-and-2 against the likes of Tampa Bay, Cleveland and the Luck-less Colts? The Bills beat the Colts by 13 points, Miami by over three TDs, and lost to the Patriots by a respectable 8 points. QB Tyrod Taylor was exposed last week against the surprising N.Y. Giants but looks to get back on track here with coach Rex Ryan’s scheme being a tad difficult for rookie quarterbacks. The spread, however, dropped from Buffalo -2.5 to Buffalo -1.5 in the last 48 hours. My guess is it’s because LeSean McCoy is out (hamstring) and his replacement, Karlos Williams, did not practice Thursday and may not pass concussion protocol by game time. Risky, but until Williams is ruled “OUT” … Bills Win, 19-17   

ST. LOUIS RAMS @ GREEN BAY PACKERS

The Line: Packers -9.5

The Game: Sunday, 10AM PT, CBS

The Skinny: Tough task to not be a homer again this week, so let’s look at the facts…first. Fact 1: Aaron Rodgers is having another MVP season and is perhaps the best QB in the league. Fact 2: Aaron Rodgers is the best quarterback at extended plays, and is perhaps the best QB in the league. Fact 3: The loss of the Rams’ linebacker Alec Ogletree is larger than you’ll hear about from most other experts this week, and backs Lacy and Starks should have moderate success on the ground. Fact 4: The Packers are 4-and-0 this season and 4-and-0 against the spread. Fact 5: The Rams and Packers are tied in both sacks allowed (6) and sacks earned (17). Fact 6: The Rams defensive front is the best Rodgers will face all year. Fact 7: The Packers have only won by 10 points in both home games this year. Take the points…Hey, I tried!  Packers Win, 20-17   

ARIZONA CARDINALS @ DETROIT LIONS

The Line: Cardinals -2.5

The Game: Sunday, 1:05PM PT, FOX

The Skinny: This is an intriguing game because normally I’d select the Arizona Cardinals without hesitation, but the Lions decided to show up last week against the Seahawks despite the undeserved loss. Plus, Arizona was physically abused last week against the Rams, even if the Honey Badger won’t admit it. However, Detroit, having the worst ground game this season, will be forced to pass against arguably the league’s best secondary, and QB Mathew Stafford is not known for consistent mistake-free football. Things could get surprising but this weird spread can easily be beat by a late field goal. Cardinals Win, 24-17   

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS @ DALLAS COWBOYS

The Line: Patriots -8.5

The Game: Sunday, 1:25PM PT, CBS

The Skinny: Here we go again; Tom and Bill with over a week to prepare for a team. I won’t candy-coat it, with no Dez or Romo, the Cowboys have no shot to win this game and the Patriots don’t make a habit of taking their foot off the gas pedal. RB Dion Lewis just signed a new two-year contract and he might earn a good chunk of it this weekend. Dallas receiver Terrance Williams has not come close to filling Dez Bryant’s left shoe alone. The spread could be higher by Sunday, and the Patriots may still cover by halftime. Patriots Win, 37-16   

DENVER BRONCOS @ OAKLAND RAIDERS

The Line: Broncos -4.5

The Game: Sunday, 1:25PM PT, CBS

The Skinny: Denver has not lost to the Raiders since 2011 and the last seven games reveal an average score differential of 37-15 in their favor. Throw in last week’s disappointing loss to the Chicago Bears (with or without Cutler) and it’s just too hard to give the Raiders a long look this weekend despite all the Broncos’ games being close in the fourth quarter. The Raiders pass defense is in the bottom three so expect Manning to do what he does best with little resistance and silence The Black Hole early in the game. Broncos Win, 31-12   

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS @ NEW YORK GIANTS

The Line: Giants -7

The Game: Sunday, 5:25PM PT, NBC

The Skinny: The G-men must be anxious to get started here. I really can’t buy into last week’s deceiving score against a superior Packers team, and the 49ers won’t be hosting this time. Their secondary is no match for Eli’s allies, especially Odell Beckham Jr., and the Giants are now finishing games. Kaepernick is looking like he belongs among the league’s worst QBs right now (49ers are last in passing yards) so why shouldn’t they lose by a double-digit score for the third week in a row? Giants Win, 27-16   

PITTSBURGH STEELERS @ SAN DIEGO CHARGERS

The Line: Steelers -3

The Game: Monday, 5:30PM PT, ESPN

The Skinny: Another interesting spread. The Chargers at home have scored a total of 63 points, and Philip Rivers has more passing yards than any quarterback in the league. Mike Vick’s last 5 starts reveal a 12-point average. He has not looked atrocious but he’s playing for his NFL life and looking afraid to fail rather than gung-ho to win. Rivers has no such issues and lacks a ground game so he’ll continue to be a cowboy. The return of formerly-suspended receiver Martavis Bryant will help LeVeon Bell’s numbers, the Steelers’ hope as the Chargers are among the worst at stopping the run. I recommend not touching this one, it’s too close to call, but Chargers Win, 24-23   

BYE: Miami Dolphins, Minnesota Vikings, New York Jets, Carolina Panthers   

Last week’s record vs. the spread (Thursday game/disclaimer games excluded): W8 – L6 (Season total: W35 – L24)

FANTASY BEST BET STARTERS AT EACH STANDARD-LEAGUE POSITION:

QB – Peyton Manning, Denver / Matt Ryan, Atlanta

RB – LeVeon Bell, Pittsburgh / Eddie Lacy, Green Bay

WR – Julio Jones, Atlanta / Odell Beckham Jr., New York (Giants)

TE – Rob Gronkowski, New England

K – Josh Brown, New York (Giants)

Def – New England Patriots / New York (Giants)

That’s a wrap! Thanks, and good luck, Mr. Betting Mann! 

About Author

Tony Lopez

Tony Lopez is a die-hard Rams fan and Rams representing writer at Fanosis, as well as an avid fantasy football player that has won championships at Yahoo, ESPN, NFL(dot)com and FOX. An ex-employment specialist at Goodwill of Southern California's main headquarters, he has work with prison programs and has L.A. certified training to aid people with disabilities. He is also a poet and ghostwriter.